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#causation

1 post1 participant0 posts today

It’s great to see causal Inference methods being used for this determination. Are better algorithms (than the near-far matching used) available that might be used in a judicial process causal digital twins to ameliorate these and other injustices in the future? Of course, getting rid of the bail system would make it moot.

#causalInference #causation #legal #justice

From: @hrdag
mastodon.social/@hrdag/1149026

MastodonHRDAG (@hrdag@mastodon.social)How does wealth influence our court systems? @hrdag's findings reveal that those unable to post bail experience a 34% increased likelihood of being found guilty compared to those who secure pretrial freedom. https://hrdag.org/2025/02/17/bail/
Continued thread

#Microsoft's viral paper about *correlations* between #AI use and #criticalThinking also has "impact" in the title (despite admitting "Our analysis does not establish #causation"). 🤦‍♂️

#Confidence in #GenAI predicted LESS critical thinking.

SELF-confidence predicted MORE critical thinking.

PREDICTED ≠ CAUSED

microsoft.com/en-us/research/p

Now, I'm not saying that cocktails in general or my drinks-making ability specifically have magical healing powers but my wife, who's had cough/cold symptoms for the last few days, hasn't coughed or sneezed or sniffed once this evening while I've been whipping up some gorgeous raspberrytinis.

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…we expanded our reach in 2005-2015 to ”smarter everything“ categories still with regional, governmental and industrial, logistics organizations. Then, from 2010-today, clarity in our mission led to an #IoT #IIoT maturity model of #connection, #communication, #contextualization, #collaboration, #causation, #conceptualization and #cognition leading to #SensorAnalyticsEcosystems

Podcasts, chats and panel discussions covering many areas related to…

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@ordosmarkzero

Yes. You'll find a lot with a #duckduckgo search.

From the #EvolutionaryBiology perspective there is the human need to see patterns where there are none.

"That cloud looks like an elephant." for example.

#Causation vs #Correlation challenges everywhere.

The quote, "Never attribute to intention what can be explained by incompetence." has many variations that push back on our tendency to jump to the nefarious when the truth is more banal.

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⬆️ Connecting the dots regarding #China, #Russia, #Ukraine, #Iran, #SaudiArabia, #Israel. #BFD

Meanwhile, #Russia too is distancing itself from #Trump #VP #JDVance if its state TV coverage of #Vance reported by #JuliaDavis is to be believed

All of the above are discrete data points, and we know that EVERYONE who confuses #correlation and #causation ends up dying.

Still, it is tantalizing to imagine the implications if these are indeed connected 👀

@hanse_mina @tobie1 @GreenFire @lawyerjsd