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#NHC

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#wx #NHC #cyclones #hurricanes ZCZC MIATWOAT ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 AM EDT Wed Jun 4 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:1. Near the Southeastern U.S. Coast:Showers and thunderstorms located over the Florida peninsula, the southeastern U.S. coast, the northwestern Bahamas, and the adjacent Atlantic and Gulf waters are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A non-tropical low pressure area is forecast to form from this system on Thursday, but it is becoming increasingly likely that this development will occur inland over South Carolina and North Carolina. As a result, the low's chances of

#wx #NHC #cyclones #hurricanes ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 3 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:1. South of Southern Mexico:An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of southern Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form over the weekend as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.Forecaster Bucci

#wx #NHC #cyclones #hurricanes ZCZC MIATWOAT ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. CoastA non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near or offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast during the next couple of days. If the system remains offshore, the low could gradually develop some subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week while moving northeastward at 10 to 15 mph.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.Forecaster Reinhart

#wx #NHC #cyclones #hurricanes ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 AM PDT Sun Jun 1 20251. For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:South of Central America and Southern Mexico:An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico during the middle to late portions of this week. Once it forms, the disturbance is expected to move generally westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally conducive for slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week.* F

#wx #NHC #cyclones #hurricanes ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 PM PDT Tue May 27 2025For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico (EP90):Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization near a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico, but the system still lacks a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions remain favorable for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form on Wednesday as the low moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.

#wx #NHC #cyclones #hurricanes ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 PM PDT Mon May 26 2025For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico (EP90):Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized near a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. While recent satellite wind data indicates the system does not yet have a well-defined circulation, environmental conditions are favorable for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the next day or two as the low moves generally w

#wx #NHC #cyclones #hurricanes ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 AM PDT Sun May 25 2025For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico:A disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms is located several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.Forecaster Hagen

#wx #NHC #cyclones #hurricanes ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Fri May 23 2025For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico:An area of low pressure is expected to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form around the middle of next week while moving westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.Forecas

On cusp of storm season, #NOAA funding cuts put #hurricane forecasting at risk
Tropical cyclone track forecasts are 75 percent more accurate than they were in 1990
A National Hurricane Center forecast three days out today is about as accurate as a one-day forecast in 2002, giving people in the storm’s path more time to prepare and reducing the size of evacuations.
Yet, cuts in staffing and threats to NOAA, #NHC, #NWS are diminishing operations that forecasters rely on.
arstechnica.com/science/2025/0

Ars Technica · On cusp of storm season, NOAA funding cuts put hurricane forecasting at riskBy The Conversation

#HurricaneHunters #NHC #TropicalWx 194
NOUS42 KNHC 211929
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0230 PM EST TUE 21 JANUARY 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z JANUARY 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....24-052 CORRECTION

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS (NO CHANGES)
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 74 (TIMES CHANGED)
A. 22/2000Z
B. AFXXX 01WSE BUOYDEP
C. 22/1800Z
D. 5 BOXES OF BUOYS DROPPED AT APPROXIMATELY 140 NM INTERVALS
BETWEEN 38.0N 133.0W AND 30.0N 127

#HurricaneHunters #NHC #TropicalWx 000
NOUS42 KNHC 211840
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0140 PM EST TUE 21 JANUARY 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z JANUARY 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....24-052 CORRECTION

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 74
A. 22/2030Z
B. AFXXX 01WSE BUOYDEP
C. 22/1830Z
D. 5 BOXES OF BUOYS DROPPED AT APPROXIMATELY 140 NM INTERVALS
BETWEEN 38.0N 133.0W AND 30.0N 127.0W
E. SFC TO 15,000 FT/

#HurricaneHunters #NHC #TropicalWx 841
NOUS42 KNHC 201750
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1250 PM EST MON 20 JANUARY 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JANUARY 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....24-051 AMENDMENT

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS (CHANGED)
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT BUOY
DEPLOYMENT MISSION IS PLANNED OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC ON
22 JAN.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A

#HurricaneHunters #NHC #TropicalWx 000
NOUS42 KNHC 191758
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0100 PM EST SUN 19 JANUARY 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z JANUARY 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....24-050

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71
A. 21/0000Z
B. AFXXX 02WSA TRACK66
C. 20/2000Z
D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACKS PLUS 9 MIDPOINT DROPS FOR A
TOTAL OF 19
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 20/2030Z TO 21/0230Z

2. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72
A. 21/1200Z
B. AFXXX 03WSA TRACK66
C. 21/0800Z
D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHE

#HurricaneHunters #NHC #TropicalWx 000
NOUS42 KNHC 151735
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1240 PM EST WED 15 JANUARY 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z JANUARY 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....24-046 AMENDMENT

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS (NO CHANGES)
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS (CHANGED)
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT BUOY
DEPLOYMENT MISSION IS PLANNED OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC ON
17 JAN.

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