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#ThoughtExperiment

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If I was in 1000 AD, how could I treat an infection with modern knowledge?

I got into a really long conversation with some people about this on Reddit so I figured I'd do a full write up.

There were a lot of suggestions in the thread like honey, garlic, wine, onions and so on but that's using knowledge of the time.

Plus honey was really expensive and a very seasonal item.

You can way more easily turn wood ash into lye/strong base, use that as a bleach to disinfect cloths, make soaps, and clean working surfaces and it'll be way more effective than the poultices and home remedies you're thinking of in your head currently.

The general process would be, burn hardwoods to create ashes, sift the ashes so it's all an even texture, wash the ashes in copious amounts of charcoal filtered, boiled, and settled water (use more water than ashes as to not give yourself lye burns) then filter through a cloth to get the non dissolved particulates out.

You can then boil off the water to get a powder and mix it in measured proportions to get a highly diluted bleach analog and use it in whatever soap making or cleaning processes you want.

Find tree nuts like acorns to press into usable oil, or barter for grain oils and animal fats to make soaps. Buy some vinegar to use as a direct antiseptic (better than nothing), wax to impregnate cloths for water resistant bandages/wound sealant, and some copper plates or pans so that you avoid having your gauzes, packings, and bandages touching dirty porous surfaces and you're practically off to the races.

I can go into more depth about actually how to make the soap, make rudimentary pH testing strips, and all that but this post is already getting long.

If you have some input I'd love to read it!

Reddit thread if anyone wants to read the original discussion: https://www.reddit.com/r/HistoryWhatIf/comments/1kil0hs/if_i_was_in_1000_ad_how_could_i_treat_an/


#alt-history #thought-experiment #alternate-history #what-if

   
#ThoughtExperiment: Many #Worldlets?

or in other words, fractions of #World, not the whole World. #TimeTraveler #theories often involve splitting or multiplying #universes … But if we think this through further, its scope might not be quite so universal as it is typically presented …

🔗 aus.social/@KronoMoon_TotalLun

Aus.SocialKrononaut Moon 🌕 2025 Sep 07 (@KronoMoon_TotalLunarEclipse@aus.social)    #ThoughtExperiment: Many #Worldlets? or in other words, fractions of #World, not the whole World. #TimeTraveler #theories often involve splitting or multiplying #universes. Time Travel events divide #spacetime into two near-identical clones. Grandfather lives and does not, you did not meet yourself and then you did. But if we think this through further, its scope might not be quite so universal as it is typically presented. Take 3 heavenly bodies: Mother #Earth, the #AlphaCentauri triple star system (at 4+ light years away), and #Polaris, the #NorthStar (at 400+ light years away). Now we program our #TimeMachine to take us back one year (#retrograde) where we meet ourselves. Hi us guys! This all takes place in one year. There's the original us, there's us leaving the present, and there's us meeting ourselves a year earlier — standard #boilerplate #scifi #movie #script. Alpha Centauri will have to wait another 3 years before any of this information can get to there. This is related to the concept of a #lightcone which expands at the speed of light. This doesn't sound quite so much like a newborn twin universe, does it? Now what about the North Star? It will have to wait 433 years for news of our Time Travel event. And that's still pretty much in our tiny #celestial neighborhood. The point is that the effects of such events are largely localized and rapidly diluted as we move farther away. This still has its problems, but it doesn't quite feel like the whole universe dividing into two — maybe part of it. Possibilities are that in moving further out, the effects of a Time Travel incident may be 'blurred out', as are anomalous samples in the law of large numbers. 🔗 https://Wikipedia.org/wiki/Many-worlds_interpretation … #ManyWorlds 🔗 https://Wikipedia.org/wiki/Light_cone … #LightCone 🔗 https://Wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_travel#Absence_of_time_travelers_from_the_future … #TimeTravel 🔗 https://Wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_large_numbers … #LawOfLargeNumbers #TimeTravelTuesday #Quantum #Physics #Kronodon

   
#TimeTravelTuesday #ThoughtExperiment: Many #Worldlets?

or in other words, fractions of #World, not the whole World. #TimeTraveler #theories often involve splitting or multiplying #universes. Time Travel events divide #spacetime into two near-identical clones. Grandfather lived or did not, you did not meet yourself or you did. But if we think this through further, its scope might not be quite so universal as typically presented.

Take 3 heavenly bodies: Mother #Earth, the #AlphaCentauri triple star system (at 4+ light years away), and #Polaris, the #NorthStar (at 400+ light years away).

Now we program our #TimeMachine to take us back one year (#retrograde) where we meet ourselves. Hi selves! This all takes place in one year. There's the original us, there's us leaving the present, and there's us meeting our past/original selves a year earlier — standard #boilerplate #scifi #movie #script.

Alpha Centauri will have to wait another 3 years before any of this information can get to there. This is related to the concept of a #lightcone which expands at the speed of light. This doesn't sound quite so much like birthing a twin universe, does it? Now what about the North Star? It will have to wait 433 years for news of our Time Travel event(s). And that's still pretty much in our tiny #celestial neighborhood.

The point is that the effects of such events are largely localized and rapidly diluted as we move farther away. This still has its paradoxical problems, but it doesn't quite feel like the whole universe dividing into two — maybe part of it (a universelet? a subuniverse?) Possibilities are that in moving further out in space-time, the effects of a Time Travel incident may be 'blurred out', as are anomalous numerical samples in the law of large #numbers. If one pours a cup of coffee into a lake, it doesn't change the color of the lake. There is a brief chaotic #glitch before it is no longer measurable.

It is tempting to imagine space-time as "stitching" itself back together. (Glitch & stitch?) Such speculations are related to #StephenHawking's "chronology protection conjecture" of 1992. And along with #blackholes, #entanglement, and other #quantum phenomena, if Time Travel is possible, then we should be looking for it at every scale. We could be surrounded by time-traveling particles everywhere all the #Time.

🔗 Wikipedia.org/wiki/Many-worlds#ManyWorlds
🔗 Wikipedia.org/wiki/Temporal_pa#GrandfatherParadox
🔗 Wikipedia.org/wiki/Light_cone#LightCone
🔗 Wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_travel#TimeTravelTheory
🔗 Wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_larg#LawOfLargeNumbers
🔗 Wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronology_#ChronologyProtectionConjecture

wikipedia.orgMany-worlds interpretation - Wikipedia

🔔 New Essay 🔔

"The Intelligent AI Coin: A Thought Experiment"

Open Access here: seanfobbe.com/posts/2025-02-21

Recent years have seen a concerning trend towards normalizing decisionmaking by Large Language Models (LLM), including in the adoption of legislation, the writing of judicial opinions and the routine administration of the rule of law. AI agents acting on behalf of human principals are supposed to lead us into a new age of productivity and convenience. The eloquence of AI-generated text and the narrative of super-human intelligence invite us to trust these systems more than we have trusted any human or algorithm ever before.

It is difficult to know whether a machine is actually intelligent because of problems with construct validity, plagiarism, reproducibility and transferability in AI benchmarks. Most people will either have to personally evaluate the usefulness of AI tools against the benchmark of their own lived experience or be forced to trust an expert.

To explain this conundrum I propose the Intelligent AI Coin Thought Experiment and discuss four objections: the restriction of agents to low-value decisions, making AI decisionmakers open source, adding a human-in-the-loop and the general limits of trust in human agents.

@histodons @politicalscience

seanfobbe.com · [Essay] The Intelligent AI Coin: A Thought Experiment
More from Seán Fobbe

A hypothetical scenario behind the anti seed oil movement is that the proponents are being bought off by various #lobbies. This would be seen if the profit margins of non seed oils is higher than seed oils.

Some examples of a non seed oil come from the #dairy industry and it seems in general that the global market size of dairy is many folds greater than for seed oils. Additionally, it seems like the dairy industry gets also many folds more subsidies than the seed oils industry. These both statements would confirm the original #hypothesis.

Though if in return the #subsidies
for the seed oils industry would increase, therefore providing the dairy industry with cheaper material, then it would create an increased profit margin. Thus questioning the original hypothesis if it is financially driven.

Alternatively, one could still explain it away as financially driven with the idea of having money now over having potentially more money tomorrow.

I find it interesting how everyone jumps to the conclusion that the #CEO was served his own #medicine (me incl) while there is 0 proof of this. My #conspiracy brain kicked in. What if the fella gone #woke and tried to #reform the system from within, pissed of everyone, and they saw an #opportunity to kill 2 birds with 1 stone. Prevent change that would impinge on their profits while instigating change to #gunlaws. That #thoughtexperiment also showed me how tempting and easy to construct CTs are

#random #history #question #thoughtexperiment

I’m curious what the world would look like today if Washington hadn’t led a revolution and Jefferson hadn’t ever led us into Manifest Destiny. If France, Spain, and Britain and the indigenous nations had continued their various reigns with the colonies not challenging UK rule.

In what ways would the world be different without the USA? What would have formed instead? What would be the outcome of the wars of the 1900’s?

1/3

#unfetteredCapitalism #thoughtExperiment
If @jonstewart or similar are interviewing a 'The market is always right, don't get in the way of the market' type of person would this be reasonable:
Host: Without warning punches guest hard in the face.
Host immediately explains this will be astounding for ratings, their business is based on ratings ergo the market directed this ergo guest has no cause for complaint.