Daniel Dvorkin<p>For the first time since the start of his second term, <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Trump</span></a> hit 50% <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/disapproval" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>disapproval</span></a> in <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/VoteHub" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>VoteHub</span></a>'s <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/aggregation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>aggregation</span></a> today. <a href="https://votehub.com/polls/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">votehub.com/polls/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p>Presidents have come back from this. <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Reagan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Reagan</span></a> bottomed out at something like 30% early in his first term, and then of course won re-election in a landslide. But Trump doesn't have that kind of political acumen.</p><p>If we have anything resembling a fair <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>election</span></a>, 2026 will be a bloodbath, and I'm willing to bet 2028 as well. If we don't, well, it will be a bloodbath of a different kind.</p>