The #wisdomOfCrowds suggests that aggregating judgments from multiple people yields more accurate estimates.
For #diagnosis, human-AI crowds' had better aggregate decisions than all-human crowds or all-AI crowds:
The #wisdomOfCrowds suggests that aggregating judgments from multiple people yields more accurate estimates.
For #diagnosis, human-AI crowds' had better aggregate decisions than all-human crowds or all-AI crowds:
University of YouTube is NOT an education!
Source: digitaltechnologies.educationIn today’s America there are an overabundance of people who think spending hours on YouTube, Google, or some other website makes them an instant expert on a wide range of topics. As a result, they will argue infinitum on minuscule points with those they disagree with on Facebook and other social platforms, citing evidence from sources they found online.
Well…that is not an education, nor is it expertise. Instead the old phrase, “I know just enough to be dangerous;” is probably the best description.
No matter how much time one spends on the internet looking up a topic, they are missing key elements of an eduction and of expertise.
“…science is a process, not a conclusion. Science subjects itself to constant testing by a set of careful rules under which theories can only be displaced by better theories.”
Thomas M. Nichols – “The Death of Expertise: The Campaign Against Established Knowledge and Why It Matters“
Perhaps, it’s one thing for people to argue over some mundane topic. It’s wholly another when “questionable and incomplete research” is being used for making life and death policy decisions, whether it be in law, health care, politics, or a plethora of other topics. Do we really want any of these important decisions based on someone’s feelings, opinion, or gut instinct?
Source: mentalfloss.comIn his 2017 book, The Death of Expertise: The Campaign Against Established Knowledge and Why It Matters, author Thomas M. Nichols notes the following points:
“Americans have reached a point where ignorance, especially of anything related to public policy, is an actual virtue. To reject the advice of experts is to assert autonomy, a way for Americans to insulate their increasingly fragile egos from ever being told they’re wrong about anything.”
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“More important and more relevant to the death of expertise, however, is that conspiracy theories are deeply attractive to people who have a hard time making sense of a complicated world and who have no patience for less dramatic explanations. Such theories also appeal to a strong streak of narcissism: there are people who would choose to believe in complicated nonsense rather than accept that their own circumstances are incomprehensible, the result of issues beyond their intellectual capacity to understand, or even their own fault.”
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“Anti-intellectualism is itself a means of short-circuiting democracy, because a stable democracy in any culture relies on the public actually understanding the implications of its own choices.”
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“When feelings matter more than rationality or facts, education is a doomed enterprise.”
Back in high school, this author had a friend who no matter what, could not be convinced they were incorrect on any factoid we disagreed on, even when they were shown the correct answer in the World Almanac. It was annoying as hell.
Today, such attitudes appear to have gone mainstream, making many discussions, even within extended families, rife with unneeded stress and tension. Hardly a situation for healthy debate or increased understanding. Throw in online stalking, name-calling, road rage, and a variety of other 21st century risks, and one has to wonder whatever happened to old fashioned civility and simple good-hearted kindness?
Is it any wonder that cases of previously defeated diseases are popping up again? Is it any wonder that so many people vote against they own best interest? Is it any wonder that so many Americans believe the United States sits at the top of most global comparisons on standard of living, health care, transportation, life expectancy, and happiness, when in reality we often aren’t even close?
Requiring civics classes throughout middle and high school might be one way to counteract some of these problems. Reinstating the Fairness Doctrine in the media would improve news reporting so that it is more even-handed and balanced (and not just as an advertising slogan). Requiring an overseas trip as part of our education, trade schooling, job training, or military service would also help improve understanding of the greater world beyond our borders. Sure, there are problem areas out there, but there are also a lot of places around the globe that are far outpacing the United States in achievements.
In the end, it takes each an every one of us (me included) to just accept the fact that we do not know everything and never will. Life is and always will be a learning process. And sometimes, others are more knowledgeable about certain topics than we can ever hope to be. And guess what? There is absolutely nothing wrong with that.
Peace!
Southington Genealogical Society: Genealogy program focuses on New York genealogical resources. “The virtual program, ‘Focus on Free Resources for New York Genealogical Research,’ will be offered Tuesday, May 27 by the Southington Genealogical Society. This free event will take place at 7 p.m. at the Southington Historical Center, 239 Main St. People are welcome to come view in-person with […]
#free #NewYork #genealogy #expertise
'The virtual program, “Focus on Free Resources for New York Genealogical Research,” will be offered Tuesday, May 27 by the Southington Genealogical Society. This free event will take place at 7 p.m. at the Southington Historical Center, 239 Main St. People are welcome to come view in-person with others or receive the Zoom link.'
Alex Chan: Creating a static website for all my bookmarks. “It’s taken hundreds of hours to get all my bookmarks and saved web pages into this new site, and it’s taught me a lot about archiving and building the web. This post is the first of a four-part series about my bookmarks, and I’ll publish the rest of the series over the next three weeks.”
https://rbfirehose.com/2025/05/16/alex-chan-creating-a-static-website-for-all-my-bookmarks/
National Archives (United States): National Archives New Online Genealogy Series Launches May 13. “Join National Archives experts for our annual online Genealogy Series on our YouTube channel. This educational series will teach participants how to use federal resources at the National Archives for genealogical research. Sessions are intended for everyone, from beginners to experienced family […]
Harvard Gazette: Know how those tech moguls want us to go to Mars? Ignore them.. “Tech billionaires promoting space exploration and colonization as the solution to humanity’s problems should be ignored, says Adam Becker. These CEOs have little to no expertise in engineering or astrophysics and have little to support their arguments beyond money, according to Becker, an astrophysicist, […]
What does the AFR say about University administration?
“Are Australian university #bosses worth the big bucks? Australian vice chancellors earn far more than their #peers in the #UK, #US, #Canada and #NewZealand. Is this justifiable?”
“Australian #universities, it seems to me, are subject to two different forces: #managerialism and a heightened #regulatory state. By having so much #RedTape attached to universities by #government, we end up needing a lot of processes and the VCs are there to make sure their universities are fulfilling all those sets of #regulations,” Forsyth says.
She agrees with Robinson that university governance is at the core of the explosion in executive salaries. Whereas Robinson points to a lack of #experience and #expertise on university boards, Forsyth blames the loading of #CorporateTypes on university #councils and in #Chancellor positions, which she says fundamentally changes the focus from academia to money-making #enterprises.
“I think this has enabled councils to leave the managers in charge and act in solidarity with them,” she says. “Councils are stacked with people who are going to be on the vice chancellor’s side from an ideological perspective.”
Forsyth, author of “A History of the Modern Australian University”, was made redundant last year from #AustralianCatholicUniversity after it shut down a raft of courses in the humanities, including #ResearchInstitutes in #philosophy and #history.
She notes that for decades, #ViceChancellors have been whinging about the lack of #GovernmentFunding, but achieved very little in return. At the same time, they have overseen mass #casualisation of staff – #HigherEducation has the largest proportion of causal and contract staff of any sector in the economy – while ignoring widespread #WageTheft – now estimated to be as high as $160 million affecting 100,000 employees in almost all universities”
<https://archive.md/uJS5u> / <https://www.afr.com/work-and-careers/education/are-australian-university-bosses-worth-the-big-bucks-20240122-p5ez5x> (paywall)
Du bist nicht nur hier, sondern auch auf #Bluesky unterwegs? Mit dem Startpaket von #RiffReporter folgst du von Anfang an seriösen Journalistïnnen. Im Paket findest du viele unserer Autorïnnen, die bereits auf Bluesky aktiv sind. Geballte #Expertise – kompakt an einem Ort: #socialmedia https://go.bsky.app/6qgUdEW
Oh heavy sigh.
When you ask your expert for help, & they give you what is probably a very simple & straightforward solution. But then you stare at it & think, "Yes. This is lovely. Thank you. But how do I make it GO?"
#PresumptionOfKnowledgeNotInEvidence
Hopefully if I hit them with the relevant xkcd, they will take it in good part....
see also: https://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/index.php/2501:_Average_Familiarity
How hard is it to teach clinicians #probability?
After a 2-hour e-learning course clinicians felt more confident and did better on multiple choice questions, but didn't improve their #risk calculations (n > 200).
Big difference between #information, #knowledge, and #expertise.
Unsere designierte #VermieterMinisterin #VerenaHubertz wirft schon mal ihre geballte #Expertise in den Ring:
"Ministerien sind am Ende des Tages ganz große Ämter mit vielen Beamten"
Klar kann mensch jetzt sagen "is aber n bisschen unfair vom Handelsblatt, die könnten ja auch was Schlaues schreiben das sie zu #bauen, #wohnen & #mieten gesagt hat"
Aber hab ihr ja auch hinterherrecherchiert - und da is NIX.
Die mussten ihren Artikel ja wenigstens mit *irgendwas* füllen.
@cyb3rrunn3r@troet.cafe @ulrichkelber@bonn.social @bsi@social.bund.de @bfdi@social.bund.de
Kurz und bündig: Keinerlei #Expertise, dafür um so mehr #Lobbyismus.
Deshalb wurden die Gremien mit Expertise ja abgesägt
Facts People Facts - #ElonMusk was a permanent fixture in the early weeks of the administration. But he quickly became a #political liability. His mass #firings and chaotic rehiring of some #federal #workers are now estimated to have cost #taxpayers $135 billion — wiping out most of the $160 billion that #DOGE claims it saved. #government #politics #maga #economy #medicare #medicaid #healthcare #dipomacy #knowledge #expertise #skills
S'il y a des#juristes, #avocat ou #avocate, ici, j'ai une question technique : quand un expert a été payé 4500€ pour une #expertise, qu'il met 20 mois pour rendre son rapport, et qu'il demande 950€ de plus, est-ce que c'est quelque chose qui se négocie ? C'est en lien avec le droit des entreprises, un boulot mal fait par une boîte de chauffage chez une particulière (moi)
J'édite pour préciser que l'expert est mandaté par un juge, et que les 990€ de + sont un complément de consignation.
#justice
Putin offers Nigeria weapons, expertise to counter insurgency https://www.byteseu.com/964348/ #expertise #insurgency #Military #Nigeria #Putin #Russia #Weapons
Stanford Social Innovation Review: Exit to Open. “What happens when a nonprofit program or an entire organization needs to shut down? The communities being served, and often society as a whole, are the losers. What if it were possible to mitigate some of that damage by sharing valuable intellectual property assets of the closing effort for longer term benefit? Organizations in these tough […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2025/04/28/stanford-social-innovation-review-exit-to-open/
The Verge: Former DOJ antitrust chief says a Google break up will benefit the internet. “Today, we’re talking about the very real possibility that the United States government might break up Google. To figure that all out, I invited Jonathan Kanter, the former assistant attorney general for antitrust under the Biden administration, to join me on Decoder again.” Podcast with transcript.
“The skepticism that I advocate amounts only to this: (1) that when the experts are agreed, the opposite opinion cannot be held to be certain; (2) that when they are not agreed, no opinion can be regarded as certain by a non-expert; and (3) that when they all hold that no sufficient grounds for a positive opinion exist, the ordinary man would do well to suspend his judgment.”
— Bertrand Russell