toad.social

2 posts2 participants0 posts today

Dave VolekAre the Polls Believable? <a href="https://tiereddemocraticgovernance.org/blog_details.php?blog_cat_id=33&id=367" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://tiereddemocraticgovernance.org/blog_details.php?blog_cat_id=33&id=367</a><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/tiereddemocraticgovernance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#tiereddemocraticgovernance</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/polls" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polls</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a>

Steven ZekowskiI’m new to Hamilton Nolan’s work (h/t Stephanie Kelton). I really liked this piece today.What is Centrism? <a href="https://www.hamiltonnolan.com/p/what-is-centrism" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.hamiltonnolan.com/p/what-is-centrism</a><a href="https://freeradical.zone/tags/USpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#USpol</a> <a href="https://freeradical.zone/tags/centrism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#centrism</a> <a href="https://freeradical.zone/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> <a href="https://freeradical.zone/tags/DemocraticParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#DemocraticParty</a> <a href="https://freeradical.zone/tags/democrats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#democrats</a>> If you ask anyone in the political world to define “ordinary people” and they answer “soccer moms,” it is a dead giveaway that they never interact with any ordinary people> Institutions like Third Way, of course, exist to launder the interests of capital within the Democratic coalition.

Shine My CrownOcasio-Cortez Surpasses Trump, Biden, Harris in Popularity, New Poll Finds <a href="https://shinemycrown.com/ocasio-cortez-surpasses-trump-biden-harris-in-popularity-new-poll-finds/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://shinemycrown.com/ocasio-cortez-surpasses-trump-biden-harris-in-popularity-new-poll-finds/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/OcasioCortez" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#OcasioCortez</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Politics</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Polling</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Popularity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Popularity</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Democrats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Democrats</a>

Visegrád 24<a href="https://defenseofliberty.social/tags/Poland" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Poland</a> used only paper ballots in Sunday’s presidential <a href="https://defenseofliberty.social/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#election</a> and finished counting all 21 million votes within 8 hours of <a href="https://defenseofliberty.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> stations closing.The voter turnout was 72% 🇵🇱

Jason BeetsThe percent of Americans who identify as LGBT has increased every year Gallup has surveyed US adults about their sexualities and gender identities.In its most recent annual report, the percent of Americans who identify as LGBT increased by the most it ever has, since Gallup began tracking LGBT identity in 2012.<a href="https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/02/gallup-93-of-americans-are-lgbt.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/02/gallup-93-of-americans-are-lgbt.html</a>64/x<a href="https://newsie.social/tags/LGBT" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#LGBT</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Bisexual" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Bisexual</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Gay" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Gay</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Lesbian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Lesbian</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Transgender" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Transgender</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Pride" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Pride</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/PrideMonth" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PrideMonth</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Statistics</a> <a href="https://newsie.social/tags/Polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Polling</a>

Adrian SegarParticipatory voting is useful as a way to obtain early information; a “straw poll” provides public information about viewpoints in the room<a href="https://www.conferencesthatwork.com/index.php/event-design/2016/04/participatory-voting-at-events-part-1-introduction" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.conferencesthatwork.com/index.php/event-design/2016/04/participatory-voting-at-events-part-1-introduction</a><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ParticipatoryVoting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ParticipatoryVoting</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/voting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#voting</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/facilitation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#facilitation</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/DecisionMaking" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#DecisionMaking</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/events" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#events</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/MeetingDesign" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#MeetingDesign</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/eventprofs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#eventprofs</a>

Geriatric Gardener“New poll shows Labour’s pandering to the far right is failing miserably”by Ed Sykes in The Canary <a href="https://independent-media.co.uk/@thecanaryuk" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@thecanaryuk</a> <a href="https://mastodon.cloud/@UKLabour" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@UKLabour</a> “No wonder local communities and trade unionists are preparing for the upcoming creation of a new left-wing mass movement to replace Labour”<a href="https://www.thecanary.co/uk/analysis/2025/05/21/labour-polling-latest/?__s=1toyfummtp6bhspv4akg" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.thecanary.co/uk/analysis/2025/05/21/labour-polling-latest/?__s=1toyfummtp6bhspv4akg</a><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Press" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Press</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/UK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#UK</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Starmer" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Starmer</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Labour</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Reform" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Reform</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/FarRight" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FarRight</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Pandering" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Pandering</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Polling</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/EpicFail" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#EpicFail</a>

Katharine O'Moore-Klopf, ELSKFF.org, a nonprofit <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/health" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#health</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/policy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#policy</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/research" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#research</a>, <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a>, and <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#news</a> organization, maintains a page on its site where you can track the Medicaid provisions in Congress's 2025 Reconciliation Bill: Most recent update: <a href="https://www.kff.org/tracking-the-medicaid-provisions-in-the-2025-budget-bill/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.kff.org/tracking-the-medicaid-provisions-in-the-2025-budget-bill/</a>. So, Trump et al, only 7.6 million Americans would be without health <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/insurance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#insurance</a>, huh? No big deal, huh? 😡

Rab Bruce’s SpiderThis sort of polling adjustment does not provide information on public opinion, it produces propaganda to shape that opinion. Weighting results to fit with an 11 year old referendum result surely isn’t justified. <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/Politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Politics</a> <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/Scotland" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Scotland</a> <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/Polls" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Polls</a> <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/Polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Polling</a> Survation repeat their regular sample ‘adjustment’ to pluck another No vote to influence rather than inform <a href="https://talkingupscotlandtwo.com/2025/05/07/survation-repeat-their-regular-sample-adjustment-to-pluck-another-no-vote-to-influence-rather-than-inform/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://talkingupscotlandtwo.com/2025/05/07/survation-repeat-their-regular-sample-adjustment-to-pluck-another-no-vote-to-influence-rather-than-inform/</a>

UK Election ResultsSCOTLAND OPINION POLL PROJECTIONAs usual, <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/BallotBoxScotland" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#BallotBoxScotland</a> has done a write-up of this poll and a Scottish Parliament seat projection:🟡 * National Party: 59 (-5) 🔴 * Labour: 26 (+4) 🔵 * Conservatives: 14 (-17) ⚪ Reform UK: 11 (+11) 🟢 * Greens: 10 (+2) 🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9 (+5)* ScottishChanges with the 2021 election.Write-up: <a href="https://ballotbox.scot/survation-april-2025/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://ballotbox.scot/survation-april-2025/</a><a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ukpolitics</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ukpol</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/scotpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#scotpol</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Scotland" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Scotland</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Labour</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Conservatives" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Conservatives</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/LibDems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#LibDems</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ReformUK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ReformUK</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/SNP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#SNP</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GreenParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GreenParty</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ScottishGreens" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ScottishGreens</a>

UK Election ResultsSCOTLAND OPINION POLLWestminster voting intention from the same poll:🟡 SNP: 33% (=) 🔴 Labour: 24% (=) ⚪ Reform UK: 15% (=) 🔵 Conservatives: 14% (+1) 🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (=) 🟢 Greens: 5% (+1)SNP lead of 9 points.<a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ukpolitics</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ukpol</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Labour</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Conservatives" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Conservatives</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/LibDems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#LibDems</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GreenParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GreenParty</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ReformUK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ReformUK</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/SNP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#SNP</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/AlbaParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AlbaParty</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ScotPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ScotPol</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Scotland" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Scotland</a>

UK Election ResultsSCOTLAND OPINION POLLHeadline Holyrood regional list voting intention by <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Survation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Survation</a>:🟡 * National Party: 28% (-1) 🔴 * Labour: 22% (+2) 🔵 * Conservatives: 16% (+3) ⚪ Reform UK: 12% (-4) 🟢 * Greens: 10% (+2) 🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (=) 🟤 Alba: 2% (-1)* ScottishConstituency voting intention:🟡 * National Party: 36% (+2) 🔴 * Labour: 22% (-1) ⚪ Reform UK: 14% (-3) 🔵 * Conservatives: 13% (+1) 🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (+1) 🟢 * Greens: 5% (+1) 🟤 Alba: 1% (=)* ScottishConducted 16-22 April 2025. Changes with 6-13 March 2025.Tables: <a href="https://diffleypartnership.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/April-2025-Voter-Intention-Poll-Diffley-Partnership-FOR-WEB-2.xlsb" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://diffleypartnership.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/April-2025-Voter-Intention-Poll-Diffley-Partnership-FOR-WEB-2.xlsb</a><a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ukpolitics</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ukpol</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Labour</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Conservatives" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Conservatives</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/LibDems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#LibDems</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GreenParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GreenParty</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ReformUK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ReformUK</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/SNP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#SNP</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/AlbaParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AlbaParty</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ScotPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ScotPol</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Scotland" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Scotland</a>

RonSupportsYouSundaeDivine:Donald Trump: "Humiliate me."Melania Trump: "I saw your poll numbers."<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/humor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#humor</a>

AnarchoNinaAnalyzesIn what would likely be a major scandal under any other administration, but feels a bit like a "well duh" moment after the first 100 days of the Trumpenreich's fascist rule, recent polling indicates that a majority of American voters now support impeaching President Trump a third time.<a href="https://www.commondreams.org/news/trump-impeachment-2025" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.commondreams.org/news/trump-impeachment-2025</a>Majority of US Voters Support Third Trump Impeachment: Poll"Specifically, a polling memo published Friday by ASO Communications and Research Collaborative shows that just a few months into Trump's return to the White House, 52% of likely voters across the ideological spectrum somewhat or strongly support impeaching him—including 84% of Democrats, 55% of Independents, and even 20% of his fellow Republicans."While I don't believe there's any amount of polling that will make the Trump regime surrender, and I remain doubtful a fascist GOP is likely to risk reprisal from Trump's hardcore nazi base in the party to impeach Der Leader, I still think it's pretty relevant that experiencing the reality of Trump's authoritarianism in action is driving a majority of Americans to desire his removal from office. Much of Trump's presumed authority to install himself as a dictator comes from the regime's invocation of a popular mandate to transform America into a white ethnostate, as well as a complicit media's refusal to address a clear lack of that mandate while they focus on "will he or won't he" coverage of Trump's obviously fascist activities. As more and more evidence comes in that the regime's Christian Nationalist agenda is in fact not popular, and Americans do not believe Trump has the authority to enact it, it's going to become harder and harder for both the regime and collaborators in the mainstream establishment to keep pretending there might be a veneer of legality or popular support behind all the government's nazi bullshit. In the end, I'm pretty sure there's no way to topple the Trump regime that doesn't involve putting millions of people in the street to actively disrupt the police state and make it impossible for the collaborator class to profit from all that fascism. By that same measure however, I don't think Americans are going to rise up and stop their fascist government until they're completely sure there are no easier options for ending Trump's reign of tyranny and they believe the majority of people in this country are ready to rise up with them. In my opinion, polls like this one help shatter the fascists' false projection of invincibility, and bring us closer to that uprising; and as such that makes these numbers a welcome sight for my exhausted eyes at least.<a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/Fascism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Fascism</a> <a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Trump</a> <a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/USPolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#USPolitics</a> <a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/Impeachment" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Impeachment</a> <a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/Polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Polling</a> <a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/AntiTrumpProtests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AntiTrumpProtests</a> <a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/GOP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GOP</a> <a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/RepublicanParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#RepublicanParty</a> <a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/AlGreen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AlGreen</a> <a href="https://social.treehouse.systems/tags/ShriThanedar" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ShriThanedar</a>

Mother Jones MagazineTrump’s Poll Numbers Are Historically Awful <a href="https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2025/04/trump-poll-numbers-100-days-awful-disapprove-bad/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2025/04/trump-poll-numbers-100-days-awful-disapprove-bad/</a>

Mr. 30㎝ 🍆💦 :over18: 🔞 [nsfw.social]Favorite part of his body? <a href="https://nsfw.social/tags/NSFW" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NSFW</a> <a href="https://nsfw.social/tags/FediPoll" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FediPoll</a> <a href="https://nsfw.social/tags/AskFedi" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AskFedi</a> <a href="https://nsfw.social/tags/poll" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#poll</a> <a href="https://nsfw.social/tags/polling" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> <a href="https://nsfw.social/tags/survey" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#survey</a>

Global News CanadaLiberals hold four-point lead over Conservatives heading into Monday’s vote: Ipsos New polling data from Ipsos suggests tight national numbers obscure a Liberal advantage in key provinces such as Ontario, Québec and British Columbia. <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#politics</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#election</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/Ontario" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Ontario</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/Qu%C3%A9bec" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Québec</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/BritishColumbia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#BritishColumbia</a> <a href="https://globalnews.ca/news/11151536/liberals-hold-four-point-lead-ipsos/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://globalnews.ca/news/11151536/liberals-hold-four-point-lead-ipsos/</a>

Global NewsLiberals hold four-point lead over Conservatives heading into Monday’s vote: Ipsos New polling data from Ipsos suggests tight national numbers obscure a Liberal advantage in key provinces such as Ontario, Québec and British Columbia. <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#politics</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/election" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#election</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/Ontario" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Ontario</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/Qu%C3%A9bec" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Québec</a> <a href="https://mastodon.hongkongers.net/tags/BritishColumbia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#BritishColumbia</a> <a href="https://globalnews.ca/news/11151536/liberals-hold-four-point-lead-ipsos/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://globalnews.ca/news/11151536/liberals-hold-four-point-lead-ipsos/</a>

Bytes EuropeDonald Trump Dealt Double Polling Blow on the Economy <a href="https://www.byteseu.com/958020/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.byteseu.com/958020/</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/AssociatedPress" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AssociatedPress</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/DonaldTrump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#DonaldTrump</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/economy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economy</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/JoeBiden" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#JoeBiden</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/NewYorkTimes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NewYorkTimes</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Polling</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/tariffs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#tariffs</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/TradeWar" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TradeWar</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/U" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#U</a>.S.Politics

UK Election ResultsNOTE: MAYORAL ELECTION OPINION POLLINGAn example of why polling is difficult, especially for local elections, can be found in the tables of the <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/YouGov" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#YouGov</a> mayoral opinion polls. Here is a list of how the percentage of people polled reporting an 8 out of 10, or greater, certainty of voting compares to the turnout at the last set of elections in the area in question:Reported/actual last time:Cambs & Peterborough: 63%/37% Greater Lincolnshire: 57%/35%ish Hull & East Yorks: 56%/31% West of England: 60%/37%Source: <a href="https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/52069-combined-authority-mayoral-elections-2025-where-does-voting-intention-stand?utm_source=website_article&utm_medium=bluesky&utm_campaign=52069" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/52069-combined-authority-mayoral-elections-2025-where-does-voting-intention-stand?utm_source=website_article&utm_medium=bluesky&utm_campaign=52069</a>So yeah, trying to accurately predict election outcomes based on opinion poll responses is hard.<a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ukpolitics</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ukpol</a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#polling</a>

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