@UnitedStates Trump is old man enough to have heard the Ames Brothers sing and it looks like he took their words as an instruction.

First you say you do then you don′t
No you don′t
And then you say you will and then you won't
No you won′t
Your undecided now
So what are you gonna to do?

Now you want to play and then it's no
Then it′s no
And when you say you'll stay that′s when you go
When you go
Your undecided now
So what are you gonna to do?
#AmesBrothers #Undecided

@michaelmagras It's about damned time the #Democrats stop wasting time on what entirely foreseeable evils Trump et al did to get elected, and what entirely foreseeable ways the ideological left (#undecided, et al) would shoot at their own collective feet—both of which are issues beyond the party's control—and started focusing on what the party itself got wrong.

Twice now, they've avoidably handed control of the US government to Trump and his fascist band of oligarchs. In 2016, they sabotaged the Sanders campaign—despite Sanders running on what the People actually needed—in favour of Clinton's narcissistic entitlement and a continuation of the past 40 year's upwardly redistributive public policy (just with more eloquently manufactured consent). Then in 2024, well, see the above.

Fire the old guard. Cease offering the People a choice between Alma Coin and Coriolanus Snow. Reconstitute the party leadership to comprise only honest public servants who can and do admit their limits and errors, accept correction, learn, and put the People's will and interest above their own.

#Busloads of #Californians are heading to #swingstates. Can they #makeadifference?

WIth days left in a neck-and-neck #presidential #election, many anxious #California #Democrats are getting on #buses to neighboring #swingstates where they hope they can make a difference with #undecided #voters.

https://calmatters.org/politics/elections/2024/10/swing-states-2024/

#MichelleObama’s #Brutal #Takedown of #ConvictedFelon #DonaldTrump’s #MentalState #Shames #Media.

As Michelle Obama harshly indicts Trump, a former #GOP #strategist working to win #swing #voters explains why her #message might reach #undecided #women—and reflects on how the #media is #failing us.

https://newrepublic.com/article/187583/michelle-obamas-brutal-takedown-trumps-mental-state-shames-media

Okay...
I've spent some time doing my own analysis on this, here are a few things.

1. Yes, there are a lot of bad low quality #right leaning #polls showing up that are making it look like there's been a huge (as in, 7 point according to RCP) swing. This is all nonsense. However, it's moving reliable poll aggregators (#NateSilver, #538, #SilverBulliten, #FiveThirtyEight) about half a point more than it would otherwise.
2. #Polymarket numbers have everything to do with wishful thinking from #techbros, and I would 100% make money off it if I could be bothered to go through their asinine process of betting on their platform. (It involves #crypto)
3. Regardless of all that the polls, even high quality ones, have been more favorable to #Trump than to #Harris. Particularly in #SwingStates. (E.g. #Pennsylvania, #Michigan, #Wisconsin, #NorthCarolina, #Nevada, #Arizona)
4. This has been shown more from Trump gaining than in Harris losing any support. This means that some of the #undecided #voters are finally starting to say they'll support Trump.
5. Given that polls are typically off by 4.3%, anything, that puts the range of national polls at from 50.5:44.2 in favor of Harris to 45.9:48.6 in favor of Trump. The .5 to 1 point shift is not a game changer.
6. The one thing that is really significantly altered by the right-leaning polls is Pennsylvania, which goes from .1 in favor of Harris to .9 in favor of Harris.
7. Polls can shift dramatically. It would be totally normal for the polls to shift five points in one direction or the other in the coming weeks.

Summary:

Polls have gone from an #ElectoralCollege dead heat to an #ElectoralCollege dead heat.

Polls are mostly tracking PA, meaning winning PA wins the race, which is the state most likely to be underreporting Harris support.

There is a significant chance that the only purpose of the polls was to make a case for challenging an #election #Republicans think they're going to lose.

Harris is substantially more likely to destroy Trump than vice versa.

I would say Harris remains the slight favorite, but every single actions - and every #vote - is massively important to winning in #November.