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#fatality

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@nonlinear @sarahjeong.bsky.social

Yes, SpaceX will eventually have a lives-lost incident, and it will be ugly. How the market / investors take it I have no prediction for.

But NASA has had several of those types of accidents over the years, so the waterfall / perfection model isn't immune to them, either. The two shuttle losses were due to bureaucracy that defeated NASA's safety culture, and the Apollo 1 debacle showed that their vaunted safety and technical reviews actually could miss something very important - several things simultaneously, in fact.

I think it's unfair to compare SpaceX's current test-to-failure of Super Heavy and Starship to human-rated missions from anyone. They did the same test-to-failure rapid development with Falcon 9 and Cargo Dragon, leading to Crew Dragon, and they haven't had a life-lost incident yet. They're not deliberately testing-to-failure with humans on board.

Compendium: SIFs, Major Hazards, Fatal & Traumatic hazards, risks

This is an expansion to my prior compendium on Critical Controls, Barriers and Energy thinking. Suggest you read that in conjunction to this, link here:

Barriers, Critical Controls, Verifications, Energy Models 

If you’re after indicators check this mini-compendium out:

Safety & Risk Performance indicators (lead, lag, drive, process safety + more)

This compendium focuses on articles discussing SIFs, fatal & traumatic hazards, risks and similar concepts. Focus is on acute traumatic injury – occupational health/chronic exposures will be covered in the future.

I’ve focused on full-text articles – so there’s heaps of relevant articles not included here because I couldn’t source a link. Abstracts are towards the end.

I’ve largely omitted major hazards and process safety, as there’s too much ground to cover in a single article. I’ve also not included much traffic/transport, aviation and some other select industries.

NB. A special call-out to NIOSH – who has been supporting research on fatal and traumatic workplace injuries for decades. You’ll find several studies supported by them here.

Feel free to shout a coffee if you’d like to support the growth of my site:

https://buymeacoffee.com/benhutchinson

https://www.assp.org/docs/default-source/psj-articles/f1bayona_0923.pdf?sfvrsn=2ab06946_0

https://aeasseincludes.assp.org/professionalsafety/pastissues/058/05/F2Manu_0513.pdf

https://safetyfocus.assp.org/docs/Don%20Martin_Preventing%20Serios%20Injuries%20and%20Fatalities_September%202015.pdf

https://ingaa.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/39015.pdf

https://www.pge.com/assets/pge/docs/about/doing-business-with-pge/SIF-Prevention-Field-Guide.pdf

https://www.thecampbellinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/9000013466_CI_Serious-Injury-and-Fatality-Prevention_WP_FNL_single_UPDATED-11-14-18_optimized.pdf

https://www.eei.org/-/media/Project/EEI/Documents/Issues-and-Policy/Power-to-Prevent-SIF/sifPrecursorGuide.pdf

https://www.chevronwithtechron.com/content/dam/external/chevron-with-techron/safe-work-practices/Preventing_Serious_Injury_Field_Guide.pdf

https://ascelibrary.org/doi/pdf/10.1061/JCEMD4.COENG-13741?download=true

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https://www.eei.org/-/media/Project/EEI/Documents/Issues-and-Policy/Power-to-Prevent-SIF/PSJ—HECA.pdf

https://www.thecampbellinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Campbell-Institute_Designing-Strategy-for-Serious-Injury-and-Fatality-Prevention.pdf

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/01446193.2016.1274418

https://www.qmihsconference.org.au/wp-content/uploads/qmihsc-1995-writtenpaper-mcdonald.pdf

https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/aaaj-03-2014-1625/full/html

https://ro.uow.edu.au/articles/conference_contribution/Taking_Stock_of_Safety/27686463/1/files/50419596.pdf

https://www.pc.gov.au/inquiries/completed/workers-compensation/submissions/ir192_geoff_mcdonald_associates_pty_ltd__/subir192.pdf

INTERMEDIATE MEASURES FOR SAFETY – Geoff McDonaldDownload BETTER WORDS, CONCEPTS AND MODELS – better safety – Geoff McDonaldDownload 1997_spk008_McDonaldDownload

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10468201/

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.puhip.2025.100598

https://www.academia.edu/29785655/Exploring_the_relationship_between_major_hazard_fatal_and_non_fatal_accidents_through_outcomes_and_causes

https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/288368964.pdf

https://www.academia.edu/81254206/Storybuilder_A_tool_for_the_analysis_of_accident_reports

https://www.academia.edu/23645173/The_software_tool_storybuilder_and_the_analysis_of_the_horrible_stories_of_occupational_accidents

https://yadda.icm.edu.pl/baztech/element/bwmeta1.element.baztech-651d2937-bfe5-43db-9fa7-601c9c667adb/c/Bellamy.pdf

https://www.whitequeen.nl/assets/papers/management-failures.pdf

https://www.academia.edu/29885714/Risk_horoscopes_Predicting_the_number_and_type_of_serious_occupational_accidents_in_The_Netherlands_for_sectors_and_jobs

https://www.whitequeen.nl/assets/papers/temp-workers.pdf

https://www.icheme.org/media/9015/xxiii-paper-05.pdf

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LinkedIn Post: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/compendium-sifs-major-hazards-fatal-traumatic-risks-ben-hutchinson-hv0wc

Tesla Tops Fatal Accident Rates In New Study

Misleading labels like “Full-Self Driving,” touchscreen-centric controls and driver complacency have raised growing concern over safety.

Tesla Model Y has a fatal accident rate of more than three times the average car over a billion miles driven. The Model S is twice more likely to result in a fatal crash than the average car.

#tesla #safety #fatality #NHTSA #automotive #auto #cars #transportation #ADAS

insideevs.com/news/741185/tesl

Continued thread

Cit of Roswell 10/20/24 0930am MT: "...Many motorists became stranded when their vehicles got stuck in flood waters on many streets. Some people had to await rescue on top of their vehicles that were covered by water. Some vehicles were swept by the water into the river channel. One fatality has been confirmed as a result of the flooding. Search-and-rescue efforts are still underway this morning. ..."