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#agingpopulation

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#China’s #population fell for a second consecutive year in 2023 to 1.409 billion people — dropping by 2.08 million from the previous year.

By 2050, the population is expected to shrink further to 1.317 billion and drop by nearly half — to 732 million — by 2100. #AgingPopulation

China faces #EconomicHeadwinds as it grapples with an aging — and shrinking — population
cnbc.com/2024/07/04/chinas-wor

#Japan's #akiya (abandoned homes) have ballooned to nine million as of October 2023, accounting for nearly 14% of all homes in the country. The number is set to increase as Japan's population shrinks, ages, and moves from rural to urban dwellings. #AgingPopulation #PropertyMarketCrisis

Japan's glut of abandoned, derelict homes created so many eyesores and safety hazards it's making the #PropertyMarket bleed billions
businessinsider.com/japan-akiy

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#Property long served as a vital growth engine as #China developed to become the world's second-largest economy but in 2020, regulatory curbs on #ExcessiveBorrowing and #speculation narrowed access to credit.

#MountingDebt and #StalledConstruction have plagued the sector's leading firms since. #PropertyMarketCrisis #YouthUnemployment #AgingPopulation

China waits anxiously for economic plan as gloom reigns
finance.yahoo.com/news/china-w

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The announcement provides new insight into how the decline in #China’s population could affect Western firms that sell goods and services in the country. An #AgingPopulation is already weighing on China’s economic growth, and policymakers are worried that a #ShrinkingWorkforce could threaten economic and social stability in the long term. #PopulationCrash

#Nestlé is closing an infant formula factory as China's #BirthRate plunges
edition.cnn.com/2023/10/19/bus

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How a Vast Demographic Shift Will Reshape the World nytimes.com/interactive/2023/0 “How a Vast Demographic Shift Will Reshape the World  2050 people age 65 & up will make up nearly 40% of the population in some parts of East Asia & Europe 
Some places have too many old people. Some places have too many young people. It would of course make enormous sense to open the borders much more. We see that’s incredibly difficult with the increasing right-wing populist movements #AgingPopulation #WorldEconomy

The New York Times · How a Vast Demographic Shift Will Reshape the WorldBy Lauren Leatherby
Continued thread

Just to illustrate how 'unsustainable' we are, I will use the actual example of my own family.

Let's start with my 4 grandparents about 100 years ago.

They have 10 children that we know about (probably a few more that we don't know, but let's stick to the ones we know).

Those 10 people had 21 children (my generation).

And we (those 21) had 45 children (so far!, because some of my cousins are still within reproductive age).

None of those 45 children has any offspring yet, but they are all about to start...

That give us a whopping 80 people, of which 74 of us are still walking on Earth. 9.25 x the original 8 in 100 years.

So, which is the 'unsustainable factor'?

For clarity, I am not suggesting 'supressing' people from having children, this is a personal and free choice... but we don't need to encourage them or make them feel that is 'their obligation' to have them because of us the oldies who are about to leave anyway... let them make their own choices.

(NB: I know there is a fallacy in the way I am counting here, because I am not counting the partners and the ancestors of all the partners in this calculation... but I hope you see my point).

Not having enough children and the 'aging population' issue is on the news again.

IMHO, we don't have an 'aging population' we have a naturally 'shrinking population' (and actually not shrinking yet!)... and I belong to the group which is 'aging' and soon will be part of history... and that is all fine.

We are very far from going extinct because the last Human couple on the planet is considering not having children...

A shrinking population will help us in many ways:

- More willingly accept the migration of our brothers and sisters from other parts of the world.

- It will reduce the massive pressure on the ecosystem of our planet. 'Sustainability' requires a reduction in Human population. We are the 'unsustainable' factor. Yes, our population will shrink, but some other beautiful species may find ways to re-grow.

- It will force us to redefine our social and economic paradigms in a World where 'perpetual growth' is not the norm. Hopefully a system where it is a lot more easier to share than today, as there will be 'more planet per capita' than today too.

So let's not be too scared about Human population shrinkage. It could well be the best that could happen to us.

channelnewsasia.com/world/why-

CNACNA Explains: Why are policies to boost birth rates not working for some countries?In the early 1970s, women had on average 4.5 children each, according to the UN. By 2015, total fertility for the world had dropped to below 2.5 children per woman.

"It’s something of an inconvenient truth for the #robot enthusiasts that despite the publicity, government support, and subsidies—and the real technological achievements of engineers and programmers—#robots don’t really feature in any major aspect of most people’s daily lives in #Japan, including #ElderCare. " #AgingPopulation #PopulationCrash

Inside Japan’s long experiment in automating eldercare
technologyreview.com/2023/01/0

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After we fall off the enrollment cliff, there will be a surplus of communal living space (dorms).

Which universities will reimagine the campus as a place for intergenerational communities?

Could college campuses be utilized as places for community and caregiving? Could old people study again? Support young people in their studies? Could other, complementary caregiving happen on campuses? Like child care?