toad.social is one of the many independent Mastodon servers you can use to participate in the fediverse.
Mastodon server operated by David Troy, a tech pioneer and investigative journalist addressing threats to democracy. Thoughtful participation and discussion welcome.

Administered by:

Server stats:

230
active users

#hypothesis

0 posts0 participants0 posts today

#Autaxys formal #hypothesis (H1): Given a sufficiently simple and well-defined initial set of Proto-property spaces a minimal #Cosmic Algorithm (graph rewrite rules), and a computable #Autaxic Lagrangian that embodies the Economy of Existence, the iterative application of the local maximization #dynamic to an initially simple or random graph state will spontaneously generate a non-trivial diversity of stable, emergent #patterns.

doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1566203

I have a theory that I don’t think we can study for another decade or so:
People in the United States are more stressed than normal right now, be it from the political atmosphere or economic turmoil. I think this will lead to a higher incident of car accidents as people are driving stressed and losing focus.
#hypothesis #sociology

A hypothetical scenario behind the anti seed oil movement is that the proponents are being bought off by various #lobbies. This would be seen if the profit margins of non seed oils is higher than seed oils.

Some examples of a non seed oil come from the #dairy industry and it seems in general that the global market size of dairy is many folds greater than for seed oils. Additionally, it seems like the dairy industry gets also many folds more subsidies than the seed oils industry. These both statements would confirm the original #hypothesis.

Though if in return the #subsidies
for the seed oils industry would increase, therefore providing the dairy industry with cheaper material, then it would create an increased profit margin. Thus questioning the original hypothesis if it is financially driven.

Alternatively, one could still explain it away as financially driven with the idea of having money now over having potentially more money tomorrow.

My hypothesis is that people have been led to believe that having a lesser number of follows in ratio to followers is proof of success in social media, but this pruning view is detrimental to long term progress of a social media platform.

I would suggest that a follower's ability to be in synchronisation with another individual is momentary, and social media followers need to access more accounts to achieve beneficial harvesting. Allowing followed accounts to be off-topic is natural, and finding interest in their progress cannot always be satiated as a chronological dosage. Humans are occassion based, and this implies occasional interest and sometimes curiosity.

A few accounts may artificially maintain a follower's daily staple, but we should see their efforts as the exception, and not set that as a tide mark of any kind. Projecting daily staples as an expectation will lead to a greater losses in the social contract across each platform. A naturally compensated outcome is to perceive drifts and allow for chaotic reconnections. Hence, requiring a less tense stance on pruning in a collection of follows.

Heavy chronological demands are too closely related to dark patterns, and detrimental social media addiction. Exploring a greater group of follows inverts the expectations on the followed, and allows for a natural social contract to exist.

• It needs to be tempered with admission that chronological expectations are how some people push themselves to achieve anything at all.
• Not everyone uses fewer follows the same way, and some have a beneficial reason for pruning.

That's the gist!

Replacing #Omnivore seems more difficult than I thought:

I am looking for
* Collecting articles in the web, via RSS and ideally newsletters
* Reading and highlighting (on mobile - ideally also offline)
* Getting the highlights into #LogSeq

#Wallabag looks good but can't highlight on mobile devices

#Raindrop has a logseq integration but this project is discontinued

#Hypothesis does not work offline and does not have a RSS aggregator

None of these options is a really good replacement...

Replied in thread

@paninid p-values, to a large extent, exist because calculating the posterior is computationally expensive. Not all fields use the .05 cutoff.

A p-value is an #estimate of p(Data | Null Hypothesis). If the two #hypotheses are equally likely and they are mutually exclusive and they are closed over the #hypothesis space, then this is the same as p(Hypothesis | Data).

Meaning, under certain assumption, the p-value does represent the actually probability of being wrong.

However, given modern computers, there is no reason that #Bayesian odds-ratios can't completely replace their usage and avoid the many many problems with p-values.

Oh! Now I get it! I've been wondering for a few years why people on social media post photos of #quotes from #books instead of more easily readable screenshots of ebooks, etc. Lots of photos of pages curved so extremely that it's hard to read the quote, or with the reader's fingers in the frame, etc. Why can't those lazy bums find a more readable shot of the passage, or just type it out? Sheesh.

But I think I get it, now: #reading physical books is considered "harder" than watching videos and more legit than ebooks. People are bragging about their Old School Toughness by reading actual physical books? I think?

When researchers gave healthy mice antibodies from patients with #Long #COVID, some of the animals began showing Long COVID symptoms
—specifically heightened pain sensitivity and dizziness.

It is among the first studies to offer enticing evidence for the #autoimmunity #hypothesis.

The research was led by #Akiko #Iwasaki, PhD, Sterling Professor of Immunobiology at Yale School of Medicine (YSM).

“We believe this is a big step forward in trying to understand and provide treatment to patients with this subset of Long COVID,” Iwasaki said.

Iwasaki zeroed in on autoimmunity in this study for several reasons.

First, Long COVID’s persistent nature suggested that a chronic triggering of the immune system might be at play.

Second, women between ages 30 and 50, who are most susceptible to autoimmune diseases, are also at a heightened risk for Long COVID.

Finally, some of Iwasaki’s previous research had detected heightened levels of antibodies in people infected with SARS-CoV-2.

yalemedicine.org/news/antibodi

Yale MedicineAntibodies From Long COVID Patients Provide Clues to Autoimmunity HypothesisPromising new research supports that autoimmunity—in which the immune system targets its own body—may contribute to Long COVID symptoms in some patients.